MYTH OR REALITY?
Is the idea of establishing the most appealing transport corridor of the new century feasible?
We put these questions to Mr. Stanislav Goncharenko, author of the articles we published on the project for an overland passageway between the Sakhalin Island, the mainland and Japan.
There is no doubt the idea is feasible, he said, for an Europe-Russia-Japan land corridor will ensure an expanded cargo turnover between Europe and Japan via the shortest route. It is capable of impelling force to the already powerful and progressive
development of Siberia, the Far East and the Polar Regions as well as of many other parts of Russia, the Commonwealth States and Asian and European countries. This implies a general activation of science, innovative activities and manufacture.
The construction of a Europe-Russia-Japan land corridor would be of strategic importance not only because it would redistribute global cargo flows but it would also provide access to an area rich in minerals. At the same time, the scope of cargo traffic would expand, and there would be a boost in imports-exports and in the volume of domestic freight.
This will secure a maximum use of the Trans-Siberian Railway and the Russian eastern seaports, resulting in a second major boost of activities throughout the Baikal-Amur Trunk (BAM). The ultimate completion of its construction will be guaranteed. It would also secure the improvement of the adjoining area, i.e. a poorly developed and scarcely populated 400-km belt, which extends 4095 km from the Town of Ust-Kut in Eastern Siberia to the Tatar Strait.
The traffic alone of natural resources will completely saturate the BAM whose capacity is 15 million tons. During the first stage of developing the adjacent deposits, the route will be capable of accommodating European-Japanese cargo deliveries in view of their single-track status. In the long run however, with the region's industrial and social evolution, as well as the growth of import-export cargo between Europe, Japan, China and Korea, the establishment of a second BAM track will be needed. The predicted shift from to the present 6 million containers to only 1 million between Europe and Asia seriously underestimates Russia's prospects.
From the perspective of all countries, especially those lacking natural resources, access to the natural reserves of Eastern Siberia and the Far East is the main appeal for a Europe-Russia-Japan land corridor. Foreign consumer interests in Russia's natural resources will ensure their involvement in the renovation of low-intensity railroads, the construction of extended railroad branches and motor roads to remote ore deposits and distant large forests.
In this way, natural deposits, timber, industrial business and social facilities become garlands stringed on the intercontinental trunk.
It will be possible to deliver raw materials from a mine to a cargo terminal in any factory, in any country on the trunk without reloading or re-embarking. The same applies to commercially viable wood, spare parts, etc.
The second appealing consideration, especially from the standpoint of industrial countries, is the enormous emerging market within those vast areas for construction and extensive economic development.
The economic appeal of the production facilities that consume local raw materials and are "tied" to the trunk, is the heightened inflow of foreign capital into the area. The interest will be higher if joint ventures are undertaken in Siberia and the Far East. If so, Russia would gain an opportunity to dictate the admission requirements for foreigners. These would include advanced technological integration, experience in modern operations, substantial investment contributions and the promotion of Russian products in external markets.
The construction of the trunk, communication networks and new industrial and social facilities will create a higher demand for metallurgical products such as rails, accessories, pipes and various types of rolled sheets and bars. This will guarantee a steady demand to metallurgists in Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan.
Construction, mining, and cargo transportation will require a wide range of services: mining equipment, quarrying and building plants, diesel locomotives, freight and passenger railway cars, tractors and trailers, lorries, buses and railway station facilities. Orders for container production will increase drastically. At present, the traffic of containers in Russia is a low as 0.7% from the total traffic, while this figure reaches 20% in Eastern Europe and 40% in Western Europe.
The growth in rolling stock production will increase the demand for spare parts to be manufactured by electric engineering plants, and by rubber, paint, varnish, and other industries. Diesel engineering will need to be developed further together with the use of imported parts in the entire range of diesel engines.
The construction in extensive areas with different topography will require high-precision equipment designed for lugging and for ensuring the secure operation of the transportation system. The satellite navigation system GLONASS/GPS will be especially needed. Optic fiber lines will be installed to provide reliable communications.
The success of construction and transportation in this emerging industrial area depends on automated data control systems based on a distributed computer network. Integrate flexible production will require fully automated systems for essential conversion processes. Because of the high demand for electronic equipment, it will be possible to liquidate the remains
of the national electronics base.
The expansion of business activities throughout a vast area and the establishment of a modern social infrastructure will have a positive effect on the demography of the sparsely populated eastern regions of Russia.
Russia is having difficulty solving its problems because of a lack of foreign investment. Japan could be the main foreign investor in the construction of a passageway, two tunnels and a road network, among other things. The project as a whole is very appealing to them.
Many parts of the Russian and Japanese transportation network have been in existence and operation for a long time. However, the construction of the Europe-Russia-Japan passageway and more specifically, of the two tunnels, will be a major breakthrough in the 21st century for Russia, the Commonwealth States and many Asian and European countries.